Issued or Partial Issued States: TX, AR, LA – Map inside shows affected state areas.
Site: National Weather Force has issued a Tornado Watch effective now through 2am tomorrow morning …
Date: 4/12/22 at 12:55pm Central Time
Forecast: An upper level low will eject into Texas from the Pacific Southwest today. While this is creating high fire hazards across the western part of the state, the backing southeast flow is bringing in strong moisture returns in the watch area. This will bring instability parameters into the 2,000 j k/g mark, which is more than enough for explosive development. Storms are expected to form west of Dallas and south from there as well …
The best areas seems to be the western half of the watch box, with lesser (but not zero) dynamics for the eastern half as noted in the NWF Tornado Risk Analysis Model below this write-up … Storms will form in Texas and move into parts of AR/LA with time … I cannot rule out a strong tornado with it as a moderate shade is considered EF2+ being possible –
In addition to the tornado watch, large hail and damaging winds will be likely with the storms … the highest winds in TX
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