Tornado Outbreak Projected for The Midwest to Texas; Centers Northern Illinois for Tuesday April 4, 2023



National Weather Force is predicting a tornado outbreak that will be for the following states; Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, Missouri, Indiana, Michigan, Kansas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, and Texas, with an extension of the warm front east into Ohio.  This will be the second major severe weather outbreak of the season, which will be a very active tornado season in Tornado Alley so read on for details …

A strong upper-level low moving across the Southwestern United States now will eventually move into the Central United States.  This will happen on Tuesday, April 4, 2023.  The system will have two parts to it, one in the Iowa, Illinois, Wisconsin, Missouri, Southeast Minnesota, and Western half of Michigan forecast areas, the other being in the Oklahoma, Arkansas and Texas forecast areas.  The northern focus spot will be nearest both the upper-level low and the surface low.  This is where we will find the strongest tornado activity.  With instability values of 3000 j/kg and shear values over 300 m/s2, we are looking at the real chance of EF3 or higher tornadoes in this zone, especially in Eastern Iowa and Northern Illinois.

Further south, we are seeing the cold front into Kansas, Oklahoma, Missouri, Arkansas, and Texas, where storms forming along it will have a uni-directional upper-level flow and still have the power to produce tornadoes, some strong.  I do think that both zones will produce a major severe weather event like the map above states.

National Weather Force will be monitoring the morning of the event for any watch issuance products that need to go out so check back and/or get on the free e-mail alert system provided below at the end of this article for advanced notifications of custom tornado watches that will be issued from this office.


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