National Weather Force has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch/Outlook effective this evening and going until 9am CDT for Northcentral Texas tuesday morning.
As a front drags south towards I-20 around Monday afternoon it will bring significant convective deployment throughout the area. This combined with high amounts of surface instability (from day heating), dewpoints (moisture) in the mid-60s/70s, and high levels of vertical shear will bring an upscale growth of super cellular thunderstorms. Although low level shear will be somewhat limited an isolated tornado is also possible with any given cell. These storms will form from the west and move east along the surface triple point (boundary) throughout the area. As they do, they will follow rapid intensification bringing mainly very large hail and isolated tornadoes. The best chance for tornadoes will be along that triple point front where low-level shear is the strongest. These storms will most likely diminish overnight as they move out of the favorable environment.
Stay tuned for more updates.
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Sina⚡⚡
A forecaster with over 10+ years of experience in forecasting severe thunderstorms. Completely self taught in severe weather forecasting and computer science with a foundation from UNCO in Atmospheric Science. Moreover, he has been developing new tools to increase the chances of accurately forecasting large hail and tornadoes. A big contributor of National Weather Force bringing accuracy, timely information, and tools for keeping those impacted informed.
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