National Weather Force Severe Thunderstorm watch/outlook effective until 12am CDT for east, southeast KS into MO.
A boundary is expected to be situated across central MO into central KS previously created by an MCS that impacted the northern IL/IA area earlier. This combined with already strong heat, ample moisture that is in the area, mid layer shear and moderate instability (especially downward instability) will create an unstable atmosphere for severe thunderstorms. These storms are expected to create very strong damaging winds due to the combination of ingredients. A group of strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to form along a boundary from KS into MO and later into portions of OK. These storms are expected to push southeastward across the region capable of producing large hail and powerful damaging winds in excess of 70mph.
Main Threat: damaging straight-line winds potentially 70mph+ and large hail, very low risk for tornadoes.
Timing: This evening into overnight
Stay tuned for more updates.
Sina⚡⚡
With over a decade of experience in forecasting severe thunderstorms, this individual is a seasoned forecaster and developer. Their expertise in severe weather forecasting and computer science is entirely self-taught, complemented by a foundation in Atmospheric Science from UNCO. They have dedicated their efforts to developing innovative tools that enhance the accuracy of analyzing large hail and tornadoes. As a significant contributor to the National Weather Force, they have played a crucial role in providing accurate and timely information, as well as developing tools to keep those affected well-informed.
NOTE: The alerts and outlooks posted here are customary made to inform. At times, which is often, you will see an alert forecast posted on here that you do not see elsewhere. That is fine, the track record of the main office is very high so maintain to follow an event when posted. These are custom concentrated alerts and outlooks that are created by National Weather Force team of experts. They do not intend to represent the NWS or SPC.