Brief Outlook:
Severe thunderstorms are forecast across parts of Colorado, with risks of damaging winds and hail.
States and Cities Impacted: Colorado (Colorado Springs).
Detailed Forecast:
An upper-level trough will influence severe weather development across Colorado. Enhanced wind shear, with values around 30-40 knots in the 0-6 km layer, will support the development of organized storm structures, including supercells capable of producing large hail and damaging wind gusts.
At the surface, instability values are expected to reach around 1500-2500 J/kg. The presence of a surface low and the associated trough will help maintain a moist and unstable airmass across the region. This interaction will foster the development of severe thunderstorms during the late afternoon and evening hours.
Timing:
The day will start with mostly clear skies, allowing for significant surface heating. Severe thunderstorms are expected to initiate by late afternoon, with peak activity occurring from mid-afternoon to early evening. These storms are expected to weaken by late evening.
Main Impact: damaging winds, large hail and lightning.
Stay tuned for more updates.
Sina⚡⚡
With over a decade of experience in forecasting severe thunderstorms, this individual is a seasoned forecaster and developer. Their expertise in severe weather forecasting and computer science is entirely self-taught, complemented by a foundation in Atmospheric Science from UNCO and an IT background from WGU. They have dedicated their efforts to developing innovative tools that enhance the accuracy of analyzing large hail and tornadoes. As a significant contributor, partner and Co-Owner at National Weather Force Innovations LLC (which own NWF, SCWF, AZWF and DWF), they have played a crucial role in providing accurate and timely information. Additionally, they have been instrumental in developing tools and organizing projects that focus on accuracy and performance, ensuring those affected are well-informed.